Roy Spencer and 95% of models are wrong
Claims that 95% of climate models are wrong have been making the rounds since Spencer published it on his blog in February. Here's the graph he created: Take a good look. Not only does his graph appear to show that most models are higher than both HadCRUT4 and UAH satellite temperature record but it shows that HadCRUT4 is higher than UAH as well. That is...strange, to say the least. IPCC AR5 (aka CMIP5) models were calibrated against 20th century temperatures (1900-1999) and have only been actually predicting temperatures since 2000. However, Spencer's graph appears to show that their output is higher than the observed temperature records for 1983-1999—during the calibration period. That makes no sense at all.